<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	
	>
<channel>
	<title>
	Comments on: The Black Swan &#8211; Another Meltdown	</title>
	<atom:link href="https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable</link>
	<description>Appraisal News and Tips for Real Estate Appraisers</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 08 Jul 2021 05:26:43 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>
	hourly	</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>
	1	</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0</generator>
	<item>
		<title>
		By: don		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27542</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[don]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Aug 2019 21:31:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27542</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27439&quot;&gt;Mike Ford, AGA, GAA, RAA, SCGREA, Realtor®&lt;/a&gt;.

That hand writing all over many walls was mildly disguised by graffiti and confused by politics for nearly a year.

Many thought were loosing out knowing the end was coming.

Theirs many stories of the 29 recession of the knowledgeable coming back into the market]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a target="_blank" href="https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27439">Mike Ford, AGA, GAA, RAA, SCGREA, Realtor®</a>.</p>
<p>That hand writing all over many walls was mildly disguised by graffiti and confused by politics for nearly a year.</p>
<p>Many thought were loosing out knowing the end was coming.</p>
<p>Theirs many stories of the 29 recession of the knowledgeable coming back into the market</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27542" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Dan Swango		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27447</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dan Swango]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 17:03:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27447</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Cycles.  Since year #1, and not about to stop. Some start and/or end with trigger events (or &quot;swans&quot; if you like?) or combination of events. That there will continue to be cycles is predictable; that we forget lessons learned and try to influence cycles of all sorts is predictable; what is unpredictable is a cycle&#039;s extent, depth, and breadth --- and timing.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cycles.  Since year #1, and not about to stop. Some start and/or end with trigger events (or &#8220;swans&#8221; if you like?) or combination of events. That there will continue to be cycles is predictable; that we forget lessons learned and try to influence cycles of all sorts is predictable; what is unpredictable is a cycle&#8217;s extent, depth, and breadth &#8212; and timing.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27447" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: E J		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27444</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E J]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 16:33:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27444</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Who is offering no doc loans now? My house is free &#038; clear and I could be in the market before the crash. Last one I got was from Countrywide and it was a breeze. Probably take 2/3 yrs to foreclose, by then I&#039;ll be 70 and living in the mountains where it&#039;s cool &#038; above sea level rise.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Who is offering no doc loans now? My house is free &amp; clear and I could be in the market before the crash. Last one I got was from Countrywide and it was a breeze. Probably take 2/3 yrs to foreclose, by then I&#8217;ll be 70 and living in the mountains where it&#8217;s cool &amp; above sea level rise.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27444" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Anonymous		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27443</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Anonymous]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 16:24:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27443</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[When the market melted in 2008, many of the loans only had BPOs. They still blamed appraisers anyway. They will still blame appraisers this time. Which defaulted loans had PIWs? No one outside of the agencies will ever know. Those property owners won&#039;t complain, because they were notified of the waivers, and were not given a copy of an appraisal performed by an appraiser at closing. Ah but, how many property owners were given 1004s, while appraisers think they produced 1004Ps? Ouch, the beauty of XML formatting, is it can be dropped onto any form that has similar programing. Cost of doing business. Change names, move on to the next scam. RICO doesn&#039;t exist when it makes large political donations. Woke is a joke in finance.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When the market melted in 2008, many of the loans only had BPOs. They still blamed appraisers anyway. They will still blame appraisers this time. Which defaulted loans had PIWs? No one outside of the agencies will ever know. Those property owners won&#8217;t complain, because they were notified of the waivers, and were not given a copy of an appraisal performed by an appraiser at closing. Ah but, how many property owners were given 1004s, while appraisers think they produced 1004Ps? Ouch, the beauty of XML formatting, is it can be dropped onto any form that has similar programing. Cost of doing business. Change names, move on to the next scam. RICO doesn&#8217;t exist when it makes large political donations. Woke is a joke in finance.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27443" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Baggins		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27441</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Baggins]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 16:20:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27441</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[https://themortgagereports.com/32667/mortgage-rates-forecast-fha-va-usda-conventional  

Sudden turn around of mortgage rate forecast.  Somewhat related.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a target="_blank" href="https://themortgagereports.com/32667/mortgage-rates-forecast-fha-va-usda-conventional" rel="nofollow ugc">https://themortgagereports.com/32667/mortgage-rates-forecast-fha-va-usda-conventional</a>  </p>
<p>Sudden turn around of mortgage rate forecast.  Somewhat related.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27441" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Ross Grannan on Facebook		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27440</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ross Grannan on Facebook]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 16:12:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27440</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Well this is round three, same corrupt chicanery, people chasing short term profits, destabilizing the the markets, it’s a downward spiral again.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well this is round three, same corrupt chicanery, people chasing short term profits, destabilizing the the markets, it’s a downward spiral again.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27440" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Mike Ford, AGA, GAA, RAA, SCGREA, Realtor®		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27439</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Ford, AGA, GAA, RAA, SCGREA, Realtor®]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 16:09:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27439</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Could we prevent it? Sure. Will we? Nope. Not any more than the last one when that handwriting became apparent. Nice analogy.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Could we prevent it? Sure. Will we? Nope. Not any more than the last one when that handwriting became apparent. Nice analogy.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27439" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: CJK		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27434</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[CJK]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 14:34:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27434</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Well, when the market crashes next time FNMA will not be able to use the appraisers as the scapegoat. Considering that many of the loans that will be going into default will not even have appraisals. It seems that no one has learned a lesson from 2008-2010. I am seeing a lot of FHA appraisal requests with basically no money down and the seller paying all of the lender fees for the buyer. The same state boards who are know saying that desktop appraisals are just fine, don&#039;t worry. Will be the same boards that will look for any minor USPAP &quot;violation&quot; to generate revenue for the state. 

A board member who teaches appraisal classes will require that the appraiser must take several appraisal class. The Board: You did not disclose that a comparable had a view of a mountain 27 miles in the distance. Appraiser: How would I have known I did a desktop appraisal, that did not require photos of the comparables, also USPAP does not require an inspection. Board: You should have known. Appraiser: Did the investigator determine the contributory value of the view. Board: No the investigator has not data to support a view adjustment. Appraiser: So, you are saying that I need to take 4 classes, have 10 reports reviewed and pay a fine of $1,500 because I did not make a view adjustment for a property that I did not see? Board: Correct, next case. 

I need to ride this disaster out for another 2-5 years. As I get older it is becoming more and more difficult to see my profession run into the ground by people who have no idea what the hell they are doing. The appraisal foundation does not stand up for the appraiser. FNMA is a corrupt origination, and some of the people (NOT ALL) on the state boards are just down right goofy. The appraiser has always been at the bottom of the food chain. My friend told me 33 years ago that this day would come. He also said that good appraisers will always have work, I am not so sure about that one. I feel so sorry for the next generation of appraisers.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, when the market crashes next time FNMA will not be able to use the appraisers as the scapegoat. Considering that many of the loans that will be going into default will not even have appraisals. It seems that no one has learned a lesson from 2008-2010. I am seeing a lot of FHA appraisal requests with basically no money down and the seller paying all of the lender fees for the buyer. The same state boards who are know saying that desktop appraisals are just fine, don&#8217;t worry. Will be the same boards that will look for any minor USPAP &#8220;violation&#8221; to generate revenue for the state. </p>
<p>A board member who teaches appraisal classes will require that the appraiser must take several appraisal class. The Board: You did not disclose that a comparable had a view of a mountain 27 miles in the distance. Appraiser: How would I have known I did a desktop appraisal, that did not require photos of the comparables, also USPAP does not require an inspection. Board: You should have known. Appraiser: Did the investigator determine the contributory value of the view. Board: No the investigator has not data to support a view adjustment. Appraiser: So, you are saying that I need to take 4 classes, have 10 reports reviewed and pay a fine of $1,500 because I did not make a view adjustment for a property that I did not see? Board: Correct, next case. </p>
<p>I need to ride this disaster out for another 2-5 years. As I get older it is becoming more and more difficult to see my profession run into the ground by people who have no idea what the hell they are doing. The appraisal foundation does not stand up for the appraiser. FNMA is a corrupt origination, and some of the people (NOT ALL) on the state boards are just down right goofy. The appraiser has always been at the bottom of the food chain. My friend told me 33 years ago that this day would come. He also said that good appraisers will always have work, I am not so sure about that one. I feel so sorry for the next generation of appraisers.</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27434" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Anonymous		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27432</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Anonymous]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 14:21:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27432</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[HSBC CEO quits as bank warns of looming clouds
https://www.dw.com/en/hsbc-ceo-quits-as-bank-warns-of-looming-clouds/a-49897010]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>HSBC CEO quits as bank warns of looming clouds<br />
<a target="_blank" href="https://www.dw.com/en/hsbc-ceo-quits-as-bank-warns-of-looming-clouds/a-49897010" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.dw.com/en/hsbc-ceo-quits-as-bank-warns-of-looming-clouds/a-49897010</a></p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27432" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Kimberly DeFilippis		</title>
		<link>https://appraisersblogs.com/white-swan-predicts-another-meltdown-next-recession-inevitable/#comment-27428</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Kimberly DeFilippis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2019 13:42:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://appraisersblogs.com/?p=22494#comment-27428</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Outstanding analysis]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Outstanding analysis</p>
<div class="cld-like-dislike-wrap cld-template-4">
    <div class="cld-like-wrap  cld-common-wrap">
    <a href="javascript:void(0)" class="cld-like-trigger cld-like-dislike-trigger  " title="" data-comment-id="27428" data-trigger-type="like" data-restriction="cookie" data-already-liked="0">
                        <i class="far fa-smile"></i>
                    </a>
    <span class="cld-like-count-wrap cld-count-wrap">    </span>
</div></div>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
